Actually the math would be simple if I could understand what the bar represents.
I'm not sure you have decided that yet yourself
I mean ok it's 21 segments, let's say 10 'negative' segments (losing mana) 1 'zero' segment (not losing or gaining), 10 'positive' segments (gaining mana)
|----------|-|----------|
What amount does the total width of the bar represent (splitting it in 21 segments aside, there must be something to divide to 21 parts)
What is a meaningful number for the user to be at the left end of the bar (highest rate of losing mana) to the right end of the bar (highest rate of gaining mana)?
Edit: What I posted above should get you an average MPS over 21 seconds if your deltas are 1/sec.
There's no way to place -215 MPS (or +450 MPS) on a bar if you can't know what's the range of the bar,
that's not a math problem it's a logic problem.
Tell me what the full range of the bar corresponds to and I can help with the rest.